Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 6.739211 7.389584 8.093010 8.913375 9.847651 10.882998 12.123322
2026-02-08 5.752258 6.596824 7.567164 8.774654 10.251257 12.016974 14.316958
2026-02-15 5.122487 6.050635 7.160827 8.605088 10.462019 12.808689 16.064114
2026-02-22 4.710486 5.697023 6.916088 8.561088 10.767251 13.691256 17.980558
2026-03-01 4.288033 5.281108 6.539561 8.287296 10.711725 14.052414 19.187292
2026-03-08 3.891838 4.862555 6.117615 7.901573 10.445540 14.066108 19.856151
2026-03-15 3.641995 4.614735 5.897445 7.763221 10.498771 14.522576 21.228244
2026-03-22 3.679520 4.749753 6.198572 8.372542 11.683512 16.782986 25.796186
2026-03-29 3.574063 4.678795 6.204441 8.549144 12.227840 18.104993 29.003535
2026-04-05 3.371827 4.458840 5.981827 8.363717 12.183710 18.456442 30.523325
2026-04-12 3.272628 4.378558 5.954266 8.469687 12.610281 19.637638 33.777925
2026-04-19 3.119034 4.210588 5.786007 8.341297 12.634248 20.113687 35.721238
2026-04-26 2.978548 4.059192 5.640374 8.249042 12.729358 20.762198 38.217118
2026-05-03 2.841196 3.905680 5.482924 8.126387 12.760888 21.298419 40.587431
2026-05-10 2.708066 3.751519 5.315087 7.973062 12.720999 21.688137 42.700036
2026-05-17 2.611483 3.647847 5.219731 7.933293 12.880826 22.486383 45.938688
2026-05-24 2.476010 3.478285 5.011162 7.685650 12.631909 22.423081 47.040809
2026-05-31 2.327606 3.282932 4.752630 7.336322 12.163550 21.853456 46.743032
2026-06-07 2.235959 3.172580 4.626243 7.210893 12.114751 22.169996 48.863305
2026-06-14 2.286954 3.288160 4.872762 7.762782 13.440537 25.666646 60.748565
2026-06-21 2.257491 3.273596 4.902280 7.922494 13.994621 27.508773 68.440479
2026-06-28 2.169236 3.160434 4.760360 7.754798 13.853514 27.683251 70.900082
2026-07-05 2.133164 3.130787 4.758850 7.850650 14.278340 29.298361 78.693650